Happy first day of Hurricane Season! It is a happy first day because there are no hurricanes or storms on the horizon. Okay, there is a low off the Carolinas headed out to sea but that shouldn't affect us - unless it produces some waves.
I read a forecast for this hurricane season. Based on current conditions and computer models, we have a 45% chance of a more-active-than-normal season, a 45% chance of a less-active-than-normal season and 9% uncertain. Who knows what the other 1% think. NOAA says 45% chance of near-normal season, 30% chance of above-normal and 25% chance of a below-normal season. A "normal" hurricane season in the North Atlantic is 10-16 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes, and 1-4 major hurricanes. We already had one hurricane, Alex in JANUARY!
One issue is the ocean temperatures. This winter our dive computers didn't record anything below 80 degrees. In previous years we've gotten don to 78-79 degrees. Most of the winter was 81-82 degrees. That's warm! Tropical storms and hurricanes feed on warm moist air over the ocean so having the ocean this warm this early is a little scary.
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