So here we go. Dorian took a little turn to the north and is heading right at us. The National Hurricane Center actually shows the worst of Dorian passing east and north of us before turning west and heading for the Bahamas and Florida. Until this morning all the tracks show the storm going a little south and west, then up through the Mona Passage (the passage from the Atlantic to the Caribbean between Puerto Rico and Hispanola). Some reports are saying maybe a weak Cat 1 hurricane but most likely still a tropical storm With winds under 74 mph, probably in the 40-50 mph range for us.
So what does this all mean? We are going to get strong winds starting this afternoon or early evening. There are predictions of 4"-6" of rain, especially on south facing slopes. (Fortunately, we're on the north side.) That could be devastating because so many areas are still unstable since the loss of trees in Maria.
Dorian is a small-ish compact storm which apparently makes it track more difficult to predict. Puerto Rico is a smallish island, The difference of a few miles either way can make a huge difference the impact. We're as prepared as we can be for whatever comes. If the electric goes out - which is likely - we'll get back on to let y'all know we're safe. Til then, we got this.
(The twitter-in-chief is already bitching about recovery aid to Puerto Rico!)
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